- Advertising (1)
- Artificial Intelligence (AI) (13)
- Classification (3)
- Clustering (1)
- Coding / Programming (8)
- Cryptography (1)
- Data Mining (22)
- Economy / Investing (1)
- ewrt linux (2)
- Fixing Stuff (8)
- Machine Learning (32)
- Math (2)
- Politics (3)
- Predictive Modeling (5)
- Psychology (3)
- Ramblings (26)
- Random (9)
- Security (16)
- Society (13)
- Sociology (4)
- spam (3)
- Statistics (20)
- January 28, 2012 4:56 pm: Will 2012 be the year of Big Data?
- August 14, 2011 10:41 pm: UK plans to exempt data mining from copyright laws
- June 21, 2011 3:26 am: Risk Assessment of Rare Events in adversarial Scenarios
- March 26, 2011 7:57 pm: How Kinect body tracking works and how Machine Learning helped
- March 1, 2011 11:58 am: European Court of Justice ruling (indirectly) on what cannot be used in Insurance Risk Models
- December 11, 2010 8:35 pm: Mining of Massive Datasets
- December 4, 2010 2:28 pm: Ideas on communicating risks and probabilities to the general public
- October 17, 2010 5:48 pm: Birthday Paradox
- August 5, 2010 1:06 am: Elo Scores and Rating Contestants
- July 11, 2010 8:56 pm: GraphLab & Parallel Machine Learning
Blogroll
Uncategorized
Useful Links
- January 2012
- August 2011
- June 2011
- March 2011
- December 2010
- October 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- November 2009
- July 2009
- June 2009
- May 2009
- April 2009
- March 2009
- February 2009
- January 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
- June 2008
- May 2008
- April 2008
- March 2008
- February 2008
- January 2008
- December 2007
- November 2007
- October 2007
- September 2007
- August 2007
- July 2007
- June 2007
- May 2007
- April 2007
- March 2007
- February 2007
- January 2007
- December 2006
- November 2006
- October 2006
- September 2006
- August 2006
Las Vegas and Roulette
I just got back from a brief stay in Las Vegas. I didn’t gamble, but got thinking about the game of Roulette. Obviously all the games that are played rely on unpredictability in one way or another and require real randomness, just like many cryptography applications such as SSL. If the state of, say the deck of cards in a black jack game would be known, the outcome becomes predictable (see also: cracking the Netscape SSL random number generator). The black jack card counting thing is getting old (and I noticed that they cut the deck of cards and throw away a number of cards - which leaves the gambles with no information what cards are now in the deck), but recently I read about people using a laser scanner to predict the roulette wheel outcome. An interesting bit I noticed was how Roulette is played differently here in the US. Besides that there are two zeros on the table (giving the bank an even greater chance to win) the croupier changes the spin of the wheel (he/she stops the wheel and starts spinning it again) and puts the little ball in after all the bets have been made. I recall that in Europe they spin the wheel and put the ball in and then allow for bets being made for a certain amount of time. That certainly makes it impossible to predict anything at all at the time of betting (unless the wheel would be biased somehow, say by a slight tilt). Also the displays that show the last couple of numbers seem to malfunction occasionally and display the wrong numbers. I guess the only way to win in a casino would be if any of their “random number generators” were unbeknownst to them were not truly random - but then again they won’t like it if people win.
Funny sidenote… you can find amazing, “infallable” Roulette Systems on the web for only $27
Then there others that are available for free. For example, the pivot system. The inventor claims that :”It is a fact that numbers on a roulette wheel tend to repeat often.” Some of them might even work (play simple chances, double your bet everytime you loose) assuming that there would be no limit at the table (and ignoring that the house still has an edge).